ASX set to open higher as tech stocks drive Wall Street rally
By Stan Choe
Wall Street is rallying more on Thursday, led by excitement around tech stocks and a surge for Facebook’s parent company.
The S&P 500 was 1.4 per cent higher in midday trading a day after hitting its highest level since August. The Nasdaq composite was 3.2 per cent higher, while the Dow Jones was lagging because it has less of an emphasis on tech. It was down 0.3 per cent. The Australian sharemarket is set for gains, with futures at 5am AEDT pointing to a rise of 25 points, or 0.3 per cent, at the open. The ASX added 0.1 per cent on Thursday.
Meta was helping to lead the way with a nearly 26 per cent leap after it reported better revenue for the latest quarter than analysts expected and said it expects to spend less this year than earlier forecast. While its latest profit fell short of expectations, Facebook’s parent also announced a program to buy back $US40 billion ($56 billion) of its stock.
Stocks had already been on the upswing through the start of the year on hopes that the Federal Reserve may be set to pause soon on its hikes to interest rates. Such increases help stamp out inflation but also hurt the economy and investment prices.
A day earlier, stocks and bonds took off after Fed Chair Jerome Powell said the central bank is finally starting to see progress in its battle against inflation. Markets took that as a cue that a pause may indeed be imminent, and investors even raised bets for cuts to rates late this year. Rate cuts act like steroids for markets, juicing prices and providing support for the economy.
That’s despite Powell saying on Wednesday that a couple more rate hikes will likely be appropriate to get inflation down to the Fed’s target. He also said he did not foresee any rate cuts in 2023 and again pledged to “stay the course until the job is done” on beating inflation.
“The market is saying the Fed may have its cake and eat it, too: inflation falling and growth not falling off a cliff so far,” said Ella Hoxha, senior investment manager at Pictet Asset Management.
She said the market seems to be putting a 75 per cent probability on the Fed engineering a “soft landing” for the economy, where inflation can drop from its soaring heights without sending the economy into a painful recession.
“We would say at best it’s 50 per cent, potentially lower,” Hoxha said.
She said there’s still a risk that the Fed will have to hold a tougher line on rates than markets expect if the U.S. labor market remains tight. That gives her pause as stock and bond prices rally so strongly around the world.
“It does feel like the market wants to pick pennies in front of a steamroller,” she said.
Thursday’s rally stretched across the Atlantic, where markets rose after central banks for Europe and the United Kingdom also raised rates in their efforts to squelch inflation.
The European Central Bank raised its key rate by 0.50 percentage points and said another would arrive next month. The Bank of England also raised its key rate by half a percentage point and said it’s seeing signs that inflation has turned the corner, though it also stressed it’s too soon to declare victory over inflation.
European stocks rallied, with the German DAX returning 2.2 per cent. The FTSE 100 in London was up 0.8 per cent.
Moves in Asia were more modest, with Hong Kong’s Hang Seng down 0.5 per cent and Japan’s Nikkei 225 up 0.2 per cent.
The next big event for Wall Street will be a suite of earnings reports from Big Tech companies coming after trading closes on Thursday, including Apple, Amazon and Google’s parent company, Alphabet. Each rose more than 3 per cent. Because these stocks are the biggest by value, their movements carry more sway on the S&P 500 and other indexes.
After those will be Friday’s jobs report, where economists expect to see a slowdown in hiring. The job market has largely remained resilient even in the face of swift rate hikes by the Fed over the last year.
Big tech companies have announced high-profile layoffs recently, but a report on Thursday suggested job cuts are not that widespread. Fewer workers applied for unemployment benefits last week than expected, and the number dropped to its lowest level since April.
Treasury yields dipped further Thursday, an indication of expectations for an easier Fed. The yield on the 10-year Treasury, which helps set rates for mortgages and other important loans, fell to 3.36 per cent from 3.42 per cent late Wednesday. The two-year yield, which moves more on expectations for the Fed, fell to 4.07 per cent from 4.10 per cent.
The Market Recap newsletter is a wrap of the day’s trading. Get it each weekday afternoon.
Most Viewed in Business
Source: Thanks smh.com